Dear All
Timekeeping has never been my forte...
I have unearthed a little gem of a system, Like most systems it is based upon sound data and not on guesswork... I do not have the appropriate software so cannot properly track its profitability historically. I have no doubt about the success of its strike rate but successful strike rates don't necessarily make money...
Juveniles on second start in maidens in circumstances where they are the only horse in the race to have achieved RPR of 80 or more on debut and on only start. Those achieving the 80+ landmark on a start subsequent to debut do not qualify!
I will try to keep you informed of qualifiers on a daily basis... Prices are sometimes too short but occasionally, particularly where a less fashionable stable is involved, there is real value. I might need to tweak the system to increase the profit angle...
TTTF not reaching last year's heights. Havant and Casamento have not contributed, Goldikova has ensured a couple of reverses; Blue Bunting and So You Think were not on my radar - Canford retired... back to drawing board over jumps...
Mystified by over reaction to Grand National deaths earlier this year. I am convinced that the number of runners, the quality of the field (so leniency of the handicapper) and the downsizing of the fences (so easier for good horses in a big field to travel faster!) It's just lip service dressed up as concern for welfare of horses... danger that Gold Cup winners will be winning National in next 5 years..
So which horses have caught my eye recently...
FALLEN FOR YOU - winner of a tasty Newmarket maiden on July course; achieved the important 80+ RPR number, on debut; started favourite, entered in G1 contest in Autumn, stable knows a Guineas horse when it has one...
LEARN - Ballydoyle inmate; won on 3rd start; O'Brien is a master of bringing his runners along slowly - not scared to lose; achieved 80+ on all 3 starts and 93 when winning latest; a son of Galileo out of a Spinning World mare...
NASRI - Ayr Gold Cup winner in waiting. Stays 7 furlongs well (need a stayer in top handicap sprints); competitive in big-field handicaps and trained by the sprint master - Dandy Nicholls...
GASSIN GOLF - trained by the Master of Heath House; stoutly bred (as so many of his are) a son of Montjeu out of an Hernando mare. Jump boys will be salivating... impressive last night off modest pace at Kempton Park on the all-weather...
COMEHOMEQUIETLY - looked a promising individual when winning a Novice Chase at Worcester this evening; jumping boldly at times but novicey at others - room for improvement but big engine; from a very unfashionable, small yard might just surprise and run up a sequence...
Will post York thoughts shortly...
KR
Rm (Mark)
No comments:
Post a Comment