Saturday, 6 October 2012
Arc the Longchamp Angels sing..!
Dear All
In the immortal lyrics of that great songstress, Joni Mitchell, I looked at the Arc from all sides now, from up and down, and still somehow I can only see one winner and that's Saonois...
The key features are:
He's from the classic generation - 3-year olds appear to have a distinct advantage...
He's a Group 1 winner...
He's a Classic winner
He's improving
He's won over the trip
He's French-trained
He won the Prix Niel - a significant Arc trial
He's drawn perfectly in stall 2 - ages since a high drawn contender was victorious
Add to that:
Weak opposition generally
Those that are not weak have to overcome terrible draws (Orfevre) or, in the case of Camelot, a second-hand plan - very much doubt he'd have run here but for St Leger defeat...
How Great Heavens is ahead of a French Derby winner in the betting is a mystery; Nathaniel was connections' first choice for the race; this is clearly plan B and she has never once raced against a colt... no chance!
Dangers, if any, are Shareta and Meandre...
Happy punting
Rm(Mark)
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